16 Jul · 20:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KG
🇵🇱Kacper Glazowski
ELO 1661
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jendrzejewski
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1670
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Jendrzejewski goes over total as favourite 68% (79)
Fair odds · Jendrzejewski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.