15 Jul · 20:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1543
FormLWWLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Pytlas
DJ
🇵🇱Dawid Jedrysik
ELO 1354
FormWLLLL
70%
30%
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
26%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+189
H2H10-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+189)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-5)