15 Jul · 20:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1619
FormWWWWW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Koczyba
DJ
🇵🇱Dawid Jedrysik
ELO 1354
FormWLLLL
76%
24%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~75 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+265
H2H7-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+265)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-0)