15 Jul · 21:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1542
FormWWWLW
83%Win chancemodel fair 1.20Pyrek
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1187
FormLLLWL
83%
17%
🌟Barton stays under total as underdog 70% (37)
Fair odds · Pyrek
Model 83% · 1.20vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 70%Total ~72 pts
3-0
41%
3-1
29%
3-2
13%
2-3
8%
1-3
6%
Elo Gap+355
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+355)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)