15 Jul · 21:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AF
🇵🇱Adrian Fabis
ELO 1403
FormWLWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Fabis
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1286
FormLWLLW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Fabis
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+117
H2H43-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-35)