15 Jul · 22:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1384
FormWWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Kotyl
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1286
FormLWLLW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Kotyl
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+98
H2H73-64
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (73-64)