15 Jul · 21:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇵🇱Janus Slawomir
ELO 1531
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Slawomir
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1507
FormWLWWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Slawomir
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+24
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.