15 Jul · 22:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1658
FormWLWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Warzecha
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1538
FormWLWWW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+120
H2H23-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-15)