15 Jul · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1676
FormLWWWW
90%Win chancemodel fair 1.11Tkaczyk
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1182
FormLLLLL
90%
10%
⚡ Cover lean · Tkaczyk🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 71% (28)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 90% · 1.11vsMarket 91% · 1.10· vig 4%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 76%Total ~71 pts
3-0
45%
3-1
32%
3-2
14%
2-3
5%
1-3
4%
Elo Gap+494
H2H9-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+494)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-1)