16 Jul · 00:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1521
FormWWWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Koczyba
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1610
FormLWWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)