16 Jul · 03:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1536
FormLWLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Lebek
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1392
FormLLWWW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~79 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+144
H2H18-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-11)