16 Jul · 03:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1179
FormLLLLW
82%Win chancemodel fair 1.22Machelski
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1514
FormLWWLW
18%
82%
Fair odds · Machelski
Model 82% · 1.22vsMarket 82% · 1.21· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~73 pts
0-3
41%
1-3
29%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+335
H2H15-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+335)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-5)