16 Jul · 03:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1526
FormLLWLW
82%Win chancemodel fair 1.22Pyrek
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1186
FormWLLLL
82%
18%
🌟Barton stays under total as underdog 70% (37)
Fair odds · Pyrek
Model 82% · 1.22vsMarket 73% · 1.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~72 pts
3-0
41%
3-1
29%
3-2
12%
2-3
9%
1-3
6%
Elo Gap+340
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+340)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)