16 Jul · 03:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1662
FormWWLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Warzecha
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1514
FormLWWLW
66%
34%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+148
H2H58-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+148)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (58-13)