16 Jul · 04:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1456
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vincenec
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1392
FormLLWWW
57%
43%
🌟Vincenec goes over total as favourite 71% (14)
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~81 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+64
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)