16 Jul · 06:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1461
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1505
FormLWLLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H18-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)