16 Jul · 05:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1413
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Stapor
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1387
FormLLLLL
53%
47%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 65% (31)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+26
H2H5-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.