16 Jul · 04:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1667
FormWWWLW
89%Win chancemodel fair 1.12Warzecha
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1184
FormLWLLL
89%
11%
🌟Barton stays under total as underdog 70% (37)
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 89% · 1.12vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 76%Total ~71 pts
3-0
44%
3-1
31%
3-2
14%
2-3
5%
1-3
4%
Elo Gap+483
H2H17-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+483)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-0)