16 Jul · 06:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1413
FormWLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1536
FormLWWLW
37%
63%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+123
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)