16 Jul · 06:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1416
FormLWLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1536
FormLWWLW
37%
63%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sulkowski🌟Sulkowski goes over total as underdog 75% (20)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+120
H2H32-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-13)