16 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1408
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stapor
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1404
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 65% (31)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H5-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.