16 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1393
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vincenec
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1461
FormWLLLW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kaczmarek🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~81 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+68
H2H12-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-8)