16 Jul · 08:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1412
FormWLLLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1525
FormLWWLL
38%
62%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sulkowski🌟Sulkowski goes over total as underdog 75% (20)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H33-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-13)