16 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1497
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1542
FormLWWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H13-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)