16 Jul · 10:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jacek Mitas
ELO 1558
FormWWLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Wloczko
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1699
FormLWWWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Wloczko
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)