16 Jul · 10:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1405
FormLLWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1500
FormLWWLL
40%
60%
⚡ Cover lean · Oracz
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H13-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-6)