16 Jul · 10:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1402
FormWWLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1521
FormLLLWW
37%
63%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~79 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+119
H2H49-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (49-18)