16 Jul · 12:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1598
FormLWLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Hetnar
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1438
FormLWLLW
67%
33%
🌟Hetnar goes over total as favourite 73% (22)
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+160
H2H29-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-23)