16 Jul · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1438
FormLWLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1598
FormLWLWL
33%
67%
🌟Hetnar goes over total as favourite 73% (22)
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+160
H2H29-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-23)