16 Jul · 13:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Kurowski
ELO 1488
FormLLLLL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Kolodziej
KK
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1733
FormWLLLL
25%
75%
Fair odds · Kolodziej
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+245
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+245)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)