16 Jul · 13:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1555
FormWLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Glanowski
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1551
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
🌟Glanowski stays under total as favourite 65% (20)
Fair odds · Glanowski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H47-52
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.