16 Jul · 14:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1494
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1536
FormLLWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+42
H2H62-67
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)