16 Jul · 15:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1645
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pruszkowski
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1576
FormLLLWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+69
H2H32-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-15)