16 Jul · 16:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1458
FormLWWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Adamus
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1370
FormLWWLL
60%
40%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 71% (14)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+88
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)