16 Jul · 16:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1536
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Minda
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1477
FormLWWLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+59
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)