16 Jul · 17:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1449
FormLLWWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1651
FormWWWWW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~77 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+202
H2H31-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+202)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-11)