16 Jul · 18:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1569
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Adamus
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1511
FormLWWWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+58
H2H4-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)