16 Jul · 19:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1357
FormLWLWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Klocek
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1524
FormWLWLL
32%
68%
🌟Kowalczyk covers set handicap as underdog 70% (37)
Fair odds · Klocek
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+167
H2H22-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+167)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-11)