16 Jul · 19:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1352
FormLLWLL
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Wojtaszczyk
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1630
FormLWWLW
23%
77%
Fair odds · Wojtaszczyk
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~75 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+278
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+278)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)