16 Jul · 19:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1445
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Schaniel
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1491
FormLWLLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H11-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)