16 Jul · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1330
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Rolak
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1374
FormWWLLW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lukaszewski🌟Rolak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Rolak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H15-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)