16 Jul · 18:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1459
FormLWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Idaczyk
KJ
🇵🇱Karol Jablonski
ELO 1411
FormLWWWL
55%
45%
🌟Idaczyk stays under total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Idaczyk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)