16 Jul · 18:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1370
FormLWLLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1578
FormWLLLL
29%
71%
🌟Hetnar goes over total as favourite 73% (22)
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+208
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+208)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)