16 Jul · 20:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1562
FormLWLLW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Adamus
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1353
FormWLLLW
72%
28%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+209
H2H18-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+209)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-16)