16 Jul · 19:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1393
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skorski
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1334
FormLWWWL
57%
43%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Skorski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+59
H2H49-55
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)