16 Jul · 20:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1453
FormLWLWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Wojtaszczyk
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1624
FormLLWWL
32%
68%
🌟Idaczyk covers set handicap as underdog 67% (15)
Fair odds · Wojtaszczyk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+171
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)