16 Jul · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1782
FormWWWWL
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Molenda
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1505
FormLLWLW
77%
23%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~74 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+277
H2H15-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+277)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-3)