16 Jul · 20:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1389
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Szlubowski
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1437
FormLLWLW
45%
55%
🌟Szlubowski goes over total as favourite 75% (12)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H13-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-2)