16 Jul · 20:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1531
FormWWWLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Kurek
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1349
FormLWLLL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Kurek
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+182
H2H9-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+182)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-4)