16 Jul · 20:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PC
🇵🇱Pawel Chojnacki
ELO 1400
FormWLWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Zelezik
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1546
FormWWLLW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+146
H2H13-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-4)